Eps. 7-8: "Expected the
Unexpected"/"This Is a Life Long Torture"
SA:
Return of the Outcasts Episodes
7-8 boxscore
Filmed: January 30 - February 1, 2022
| Aired: July 27-28, 2022
- Ep.7 tribe swap: Three colors! But the yellow just means Shona gets to choose which tribe to join. She chooses poorly, swap-screwing herself.
- Ep.7 The Outpost: Dante and Tejan make some minor equipment swaps, get bags of rice with idol clues in them.
- Ep.7 idol: Dante follows his clue, gets the Yontau idol ... but it can only be played by someone on Masu. He needs to trade with Tejan again ... except Tejan didn't find his.
- Ep.7 challenge: In a challenge that stretches all the way to Ep8, nobody scores in the first bout, but two people are injured, as Steffi and Shona are pulled by medical. (Cliffhanger!)
![Shona out, [0]-3-2](../images/e8/e8tc-pb.jpg "Shona out, [0]-3-2")
- Ep.8 Reward/immunity challenge: "Bog Roll" - Eventually, Masu wins.
- Ep.8 idol: Dino finds one in camp, concocts a plan to combine it with Shona's fake idol play to save himself, Phil, and Shona, while flipping Palesa.
- Ep.8 voted out: Shona, idoled out, [0]-3-2, over Dante, after Dino plays his idol for himself, as planned. Thanks, Phil.
Episodes 7-8 scoring notes
- It's completely unclear if anyone was officially sitting out of the Ep7/Ep8 challenge. Dino, Phil, and Thoriso did not compete, but under the original design, they might have. So we scored it as if Yontau lost an 8-person challenge, while Masu won a 7-person one.
- As with the premiere, this was more of a two-part episode. There were several things that happened in Ep.7, but none of them altered anyone's score: just the swap, Outpost, an idol find, and an incomplete, stalemated challenge. So both are combined here.
Vote count:
- [*Dino received 3 votes, from Dante, Palesa, and Shane, all voided by his idol play.]
- Shona received 3 votes, from Marian, Meryl, and a last-minute switching Phil (idoled out, [0]-3-2).
- Dante received 2 votes, from Dino and Shona.
| Reward/ immunity challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Meryl | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.51 | 7.48 |
| Phil | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.11 | 5.59 |
| Dino | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 0* | 8 | 1 | 1.10 | 4.54 |
| Marian | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.46 | 3.98 |
| Dante | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1.14 | 3.14 |
| Palesa | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.84 | 2.81 |
| Shona | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.72 | 2.23 |
| Shane | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.79 | 1.64 |
| Felix | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.50 | 7.48 |
| Thoriso | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.50 | 7.48 |
| Killarney | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.16 | 4.21 |
| Steffi | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.15 | 4.12 |
| Tejan | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.15 | 4.12 |
| Pinty | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 1.44 | 3.59 |
| Toni | 0.14 | 0.14 | - | - | - | - | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| Seamus | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| Tevin | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| Tania | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.42 | 0.21 |
| PK | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| Chappies | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
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