Ep. 10: "The Don"
SA9: Return of the Outcasts Episode 10 boxscore
Filmed: February 3-4, 2022 |
Aired: August 2, 2022
- Ep.10 swap idol: Tejan finally finds the Yontau swap idol at the Masu water well, pulls in Toni, who will hand it over to Dino after the challenge.
- Ep.10 Reward/Immunity challenge: (Wrecking ball) - Yontau almost blows a huge lead, but then doesn't. They win immunity plus a pizza party.
- Ep.10 idol, part 2: Toni hands the idol to Dino, as planned. Just about everyone sees.
- Ep.10 voted out: Thoriso, 2-2-2 (3-0 on revote) over Felix and Killarney. Tejan declines to flip and create a 3-2-1, as does Thoriso, because it would screw over Felix.
Episode 10 scoring notes
- As always, only the first-round votes count. This failed hijacking of a split vote is a good example of why that should be. Thoriso could have voted out Felix if she wanted to, she chose not to. Tejan could also have followed through on his promise to vote out Killarney, but didn't.
Vote count (first round):
- Thoriso received 2 votes, from Killarney and Tejan (voted out, 2-2-2; 3-0 on revote).
- Felix received 2 votes, from Steffi and Toni.
- Killarney received 2 votes, from Felix and Thoriso.
Vote count (revote):
- Thoriso received 3 votes, from Steffi, Tejan, and Toni.
| Reward/ immunity challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | SO | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Meryl | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.63 | 7.78 |
| Phil | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.27 | 5.90 |
| Dino | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.26 | 4.85 |
| Marian | - | 0.17 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1.45 | 4.12 |
| Dante | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.26 | 3.45 |
| Palesa | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96 | 3.12 |
| Shane | 0.17 | 0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.91 | 1.95 |
| Tejan | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 1 | 1.24 | 5.87 |
| Steffi | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 1 | 0.99 | 4.12 |
| Felix | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.97 | 3.28 |
| Thoriso | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.97 | 3.28 |
| Killarney | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1.15 | 2.72 |
| Toni | 0.00 | 0.17 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 1 | 0.74 | 2.37 |
| Pinty | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.12 | 2.09 |
| Shona | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.72 | 2.23 |
| Seamus | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| Tevin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| Tania | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.42 | 0.21 |
| PK | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| Chappies | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.