Episode 17
SurvivorAU:
Blood v Water boxscores Episode
17
Filmed: November 6-7, 2021 |
Aired: March 13, 2022
- Ep.17 Reward challenge: "Paddle Out" (+
obstacles) - Jordie wins his fourth straight challenge,
receiving an Isuzu MU-X and videos from home.
- Ep.17 Immunity challenge: "Audio Slave" - Jordan outlasts Jordie, meaning the vote will have no surprises. (Until there's a second one.)
- Ep.17 voted out: Jordie, 8-1 over Sam. He of course will join Shay at Purgatory.
- Ep.17 also voted out: In a surprise vote right after Jordie departs, KJ is also voted out, 5-2-1 over Mark and Sam, respectively. She joins Jordie and Shay at Purgatory.
Episode 17 scoring notes
- Unshown votes: Neither the show nor TenPlay displayed any of the votes (except Michelle's vote for Mark on the second vote, and Jordie's for "Sammy"). On the second vote, KJ obviously voted for Mark or Sam, although it's unclear who. That leaves one Sam/Mark voter, which is probably David?
- The unfair immunity: It's not fair that Jordan got to be automatically immune on the second vote. Past AU snap-second votes have been in the pre-merge stage, so nobody was immune in the first place. When US Survivor has done this post-merge, there's always some challenge at Tribal to re-assign immunity. Technically it doesn't matter all that much, since Jordan was not in danger, and KJ is not *really* voted out yet. But she's also the least likely to win a return challenge, especially considering her competition (Shay and Jordie).
First vote count:
- Jordie received 8 votes, from Chrissy, David, Jordan, Josh, KJ, Mark, Michelle and Sam (voted out, 8-1).
- Sam received 1 vote, from Jordie.
Second vote count:
- KJ received 5 votes, from Chrissy (?), Jordan, Josh, Mark, and Sam (voted out, 5-2-1).
- Mark received 2 votes, from Michelle (shown) and KJ? (or David?).
- Sam received 1 vote, from David (?) or KJ.
| Immunity challenge stats | Immunity challenge stats | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | Plc | % Fin | ChW | ChA | Plc | % Fin | MPF |
| Jordie | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.89 | 74.4% |
| Josh | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | 59.7% |
| Sam | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.56 | 56.3% |
| Mark | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.67 | 55.4% |
| Jordan | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 52.5% |
| KJ | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.11 | 47.6% |
| David | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.89 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.33 | 45.8% |
| Chrissy | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.22 | 40.5% |
| Michelle | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.44 | 35.2% |
| First Tribal council stats | Second Tribal council stats | Overall scores | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Jordie | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1.15 | 6.44 |
| Jordan | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.94 | 6.30 |
| Chrissy | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.87 | 4.91 |
| Sam | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0.91 | 4.71 |
| Mark | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0.95 | 4.30 |
| Josh | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.95 | 3.98 |
| David | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0? | - | 8 | 1 | 0.77 | 3.19 |
| KJ | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0.70 | 2.21 |
| Michelle | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.48 | 2.18 |
| Shay | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.16 | 5.11 |
| Jesse | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.89 | 3.52 |
| Melissa | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77 | 2.20 |
| Khanh | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.21 | 4.35 |
| Ben | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.90 | 2.69 |
| Croc | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.35 | 0.82 |
| Nina | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.35 | 3.02 |
| Amy | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.73 | 1.73 |
| Sophie | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.41 | 0.80 |
| Sandra | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.45 | 0.78 |
| Jay | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.71 | 1.64 |
| Alex | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.60 | 0.92 |
| Kate | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| Briana | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Andy | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.27 | 0.10 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
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