SurvivorAU 3 scores

Filmed: June 19-21, 2018 |  Aired: October 9, 2018
Sharn wins IC
Brian voted out, 1-0
Shane wins, 5-4

 

  • Ep. 24 Immunity challenge: "Bob-Bob-Buoy" - Performing in front of their respective spouses, Shane pulls the Hatch at just over an hour in, then Brian pulls a Rudy at just over two hours in. Sharn wins!
  • Ep. 24 voted out: Sharn votes out Brian (1-0).
  • Ep. 24 final jury vote: In a nail-biter, Shane wins gold, 5-4.

 

Episode 24 scoring notes

Notes: Car curse? Yep. Final IC winner losing the jury vote? Yep. Pretty standard. Only scoring quirk of note: As always, an F3 vote scores as follows: All three see 3 TotV and 1 TCA. Sharn and Shane each get credit for a VFB, but Brian only receives 1 VAP. It doesn't quite make sense, but it balances out the weirdness of the phantom votes (Shane for Brian, Brian for Shane).

 

F3 Tribal vote count:

- Brian received 1 vote, from Sharn (voted out, 1-0, or 2-1).

 

Final jury vote:

- Shane received 5 votes, from Mat, Fenella, Monika, Shonee, and Brian (winner, 5-4).

- Sharn received 4 votes, from Robbie, Sam, Benji, and Steve.

Episode 24 boxscore - challenge
Immunity Challenge  
Contestant ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPF
Brian 0 1 2 0.67 78.1%
Sharn 1 1 1 1.00 62.4%
Shane 0 1 3 0.33 46.5%
Episode 24 boxscore - Tribal Council
Tribal council stats Jury vote stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA JVF TotJ JV% SurvSc SurvAv
Sharn 1 - 3 1 4 9 0.44 1.58 11.07
Shane 1 - 3 1 5 9 0.55 1.42 7.11
Brian 0 1 3 1 - - - 1.01 8.46
Shonee - - - - - - - 0.71 3.37
Monika - - - - - - - 0.90 4.89
Fenella - - - - - - - 0.70 2.22
Steve W - - - - - - - 0.79 3.45
Benji - - - - - - - 0.83 3.41
Mat - - - - - - - 1.03 5.22
Samuel - - - - - - - 0.98 3.33
Robbie - - - - - - - 0.70 1.90
Lydia - - - - - - - 0.91 2.81
Heath - - - - - - - 1.06 3.14
Tegan - - - - - - - 0.87 1.89
Jackie - - - - - - - 1.10 2.39
Paige - - - - - - - 0.82 1.59
Zach - - - - - - - 0.71 1.54
Anita - - - - - - - 0.98 4.11
Moana - - - - - - - 1.34 2.57
Jenna - - - - - - - 0.56 0.98
Steve K - - - - - - - 0.62 1.20
Damien - - - - - - - 0.44 0.35
Russell - - - - - - - 0.41 0.26
Matt - - - - - - - -0.08 0.08
Full glossary of terms
Challenge stats
  • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
  • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
  • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
  • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
  • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
  • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
Tribal Council stats
  • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
  • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
  • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
  • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
  • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
  • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
Jury stats
  • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
  • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
  • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
Overall scores
  • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
  • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

 

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