SurvivorAU 3 scores

Filmed: May 29-30, 2018 |  Aired: August 28, 2018
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Contenders win IC
Jackie out, 4-2-1-1

 

  • Ep. 12 Reward challenge: Shockingly, a challenge based purely on forearm strength and/or strength-to-body-weight ratio ends with the muscle-bound new Contenders winning.
  • Ep. 12 idol: Benji finally wades over to the camp-adjacent island at 3 a.m., gets the idol.
  • Ep. 12 Immunity challenge: Somehow, Sam blows a lead on a simple puzzle, and the Champions lose.
  • Ep. 12 voted out: Tegan, 3-2-2 over Brian and Shonee, respectively. But wait! The Contenders can still save her! ... Nope, she's still out, in a 5-2 confirmation vote by the Contenders.

 

Episode 12 scoring notes

Notes: Using "Splash Back" as a 1-v-1 series of bouts for the reward challenge was... underwhelming. It's sort of the inverse of turning "When It Rains" into a team challenge. There's marginal strategy in trying to game the matchups such that your team ends up with a secret advantage (saving Lydia seemed like a good move, except they didn't need to use her). But as challenges go, it's a pretty purely strength-based one, which is fairly uninteresting. Also, half the case didn't have to compete. Ugh.

 

But that's not even as disappointing as the "Send/Save" vote at Tribal. Yes, it made contextual sense for Benji and Robbie to keep Tegan voted out (although it's unlikely to pay off long-term for them), but it was such a potentially interesting twist that it was a shame it fell flat. It's always more interesting to thwart an opposing tribe's intentions for purely chaos purposes. But nope, not with these guys.

 

Vote count:

- Tegan received 3 votes, from Mat, Shane, and Steve (voted out, 3-2-2)

- Brian received 2 votes, from Shonee and Tegan.

- Shonee received 2 votes, from Sam and Brian.

 

Send/Save vote count:

- Send received 5 votes, from Benji, Robbie, Lydia, Monika, and Sharn (Tegan still voted out, 5-2).

- Save received 2 votes, from Fenella and Heath.

Episode 12 boxscore - challenges
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge
Contestant ChW ChA ChW ChA
Benji 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Fenella 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Heath 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Robbie 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Lydia 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Monika 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Sharn 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14
Brian 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Mat 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Samuel 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Shane 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Steve W 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Shonee 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Tegan 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.14
Episode 12 boxscore - Tribal Council
Tribal council stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Samuel 0 - 7 1 1.39 7.01
Steve W 1 - 7 1 1.23 5.70
Shane 1 - 7 1 1.46 5.12
Mat 1 - 7 1 1.03 4.30
Brian 0 2 7 1 1.01 2.90
Shonee 0 2 7 1 0.88 2.85
Tegan 0 3 7 1 0.87 1.89
Sharn - - - - 1.82 8.95
Fenella - - - - 1.26 6.97
Heath - - - - 1.19 6.80
Monika - - - - 1.32 6.23
Robbie - - - - 0.98 4.97
Lydia - - - - 1.15 4.29
Benji - - - - 0.98 4.17
Jackie - - - - 1.10 2.39
Paige - - - - 0.82 1.59
Zach - - - - 0.71 1.54
Anita - - - - 0.98 4.11
Moana - - - - 1.34 2.57
Jenna - - - - 0.56 0.98
Steve K - - - - 0.62 1.20
Damien - - - - 0.44 0.35
Russell - - - - 0.41 0.26
Matt - - - - -0.08 0.08
Full glossary of terms
Challenge stats
  • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
  • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
  • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
  • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
  • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
  • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
Tribal Council stats
  • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
  • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
  • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
  • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
  • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
  • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
Jury stats
  • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
  • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
  • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
Overall scores
  • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
  • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

 

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