Episode 12: "Death of an Alliance"
S1: Borneo boxscores Episode 12
Filmed: April 15-17, 2000 | Aired: August 16, 2000
- Reward challenge: "Mud Pack" - Kelly transports the most mud, wins beer, pasta, and a 5-minute preview of Ep1.
- Immunity challenge: "Witch Hunt" - Kelly wins again.
- Voted out: Sean, 4-1, over Sue.
Episode 12 scoring notes
In re-watching these last few episodes,
it's clear that Kelly's eventual near-tie with Hatch in the
final jury vote was not an accident. As Sue's fight with Kelly
made clear, Kelly was actively performing jury management with
the departing Pagongs, all but one of whom ended up voting for
her. Not only that, but she seemed credible in explaining to
Hatch that this had been her alliance's plan all along. As such,
Kelly's impressive overall SurvAv, while certainly buoyed by her
season-ending challenge win streak, is not the aberration it
might otherwise appear. Hatch was brilliant, for sure. But Kelly
was also a solid Survivor player, despite having no
prior experience.
Vote count:
- Sean received 4 votes, from Hatch, Kelly, Rudy, and Sue (voted out, 4-1).
- Sue received 1 vote, from Sean.
| Reward Challenge | Immunity Challenge | Overall score | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | MPF |
| Sean | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.80 | 67% |
| Kelly | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 61% |
| Hatch | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.60 | 57% |
| Sue | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 | 47% |
| Rudy | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 43% |
| Tribal Council stats | Overall scores | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Kelly | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 0.85 | 7.76 |
| Hatch | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.02 | 4.98 |
| Sue | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1.06 | 4.87 |
| Rudy | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.11 | 4.16 |
| Sean | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0.79 | 3.30 |
| Colleen | - | - | - | - | 0.50 | 2.51 |
| Gervase | - | - | - | - | 0.45 | 3.29 |
| Jenna | - | - | - | - | 0.80 | 2.47 |
| Greg | - | - | - | - | 0.67 | 3.12 |
| Gretchen | - | - | - | - | 1.12 | 3.85 |
| Joel | - | - | - | - | 1.03 | 3.23 |
| Dirk | - | - | - | - | 1.01 | 2.95 |
| Ramona | - | - | - | - | 0.70 | 1.79 |
| Stacey | - | - | - | - | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| B.B. | - | - | - | - | -0.11 | 0.25 |
| Sonja | - | - | - | - | -0.50 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.