Survivor 40: Winners at War Episode 13 boxscore

Ep.13: "The Penultimate Step of the War"

By Jeff Pitman | Published: May 7, 2020

Survivor: Winners at War Episode 13 boxscore

Filmed: June 20-24, 2019 | Aired: May 6, 2020

Ep.13 F7 Immunity: "Running Down a Dream" - Nick, middle of the pack to the slide puzzle, solves it first.
Ep.13 F7 voted out: Jeremy, 3-2-[0], over Ben and a 50-50 coin-playing (successfully) Michele. This time, Michele plays it for herself, and voids two votes against.

Ep.13 F6 EoE: Natalie wins the race to find the item, it's a chance to sell an IC disadvantage to someone in the game. She picks Nick, charges 8 fire tokens. He pays (with Michele's help), plays it against Ben.
Ep.13 F6 Immunity: "High Step Back" - Ben has 30% more tiles to do than the others, but somehow he almost catches Michele (who had a huge lead). But he doesn't, and Michele wins!
Ep.13 F6 voted out: Nick, 4-2 over Denise.

Episode 13 scoring notes

*Michele's 50-50 coin: Should really be considered a quasi-idol, like the Legacy Advantage. It works the same way, at least (when it works).

F7 vote count:

Jeremy received 3 votes, from Ben, Nick, and Tony.
Ben received 2 votes, from Michele and Jeremy.
[Michele received 2 votes, from Denise and Sarah; both voided by her 50-50 coin/idol.]

F6 vote count:

Nick received 4 votes, from Ben, Denise, Sarah, and Tony.
Denise received 2 votes, from Michele and Nick.

Episode 13 boxscore - challenges
	F7 Immunity Challenge				F6 Immunity Challenge
Contestant	ChW	ChA	Plc	% fin	ChW	ChA	Plc	% fin	MPF
Tony	0	1	t-2	0.57	0	1	t-2	0.50	72.8%
Nick	1	1	1	1.00	0	1	t-2	0.50	68.6%
Ben	0	1	t-2	0.57	0	1	t-2	0.50	63.9%
Jeremy	0	1	t-2	0.57	-	-	-	-	59.6%
Denise	0	1	t-2	0.57	0	1	t-2	0.50	56.8%
Sarah	0	1	t-2	0.57	0	1	t-2	0.50	49.8%
Michele	0	1	7	0.14	1	1	1	1.00	43.1%

Episode 13 boxscore - Tribal Councils
	Tribal council stats				Tribal council stats
Contestant	VFB	VAP	TotV	TCA	VFB	VAP	TotV	TCA	SurvSc	SurvAv
Tony	1	-	7	1	1	-	6	1	1.21	9.16
Ben	1	2	7	1	1	-	6	1	1.04	5.45
Denise	0	-	7	1	1	2	6	1	0.88	4.58
Michele	0	0*	7	1	0	-	6	1	0.70	4.11
Sarah	0	-	7	1	1	-	6	1	0.69	3.83
Nick	1	-	7	1	0	4	6	1	0.91	3.36
Jeremy	0	3	7	1	-	-	-	-	0.85	2.91
Kim	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.75	2.84
Sophie	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.78	2.89
Tyson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.83	2.39
Adam	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.89	1.99
Wendell	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.00	2.06
Yul	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.98	3.66
Parvati	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.68	2.01
Rob	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.61	2.00
Ethan	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.69	2.44
Danni	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.37	1.28
Amber	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-0.52	0.10
Natalie	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-0.70	0.00
Sandra	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.95	4.04

Glossary of terms

Challenge stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
Tribal Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
Jury stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
Overall scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.