All the crap that happened in S4, S5.
Note: Your mileage may vary. S2, S3 or S4.
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Episode 13: "The Sole Survivor" (Air date: May 19th, 2002; filmed December 18-20, 2001)
Note: Survivornews.net has called Neleh and Vee as the final two, with Vee winning. We agree. Click here to read their explanation. Read on below for how we see this happening.
If you haven't read Survivor-Central's hilarious "preview" of the final four "Fallen Comrades" challenge (written by Mario Lanza), you should.
Here's this week's misdirection from CBS:
F4 IC - Fallen
F4 Boot - Paschal
The 2-2 tie would finally give us the unknown consequences we've been waiting for all season, and would result in someone getting surprised by a twist of fate. Watcher from votedoff.tv, who correctly spoiled the Ep11 RC in its entirety, claims that a tie will indeed occur. If so, Paschal is the obvious target. Neleh has enough flaws to be acceptable (but not ideal) as an F2 opponent, but nobody wants to face Pappy, as Kathy has already said. It's possible that, like Sean, he might volunteer to be booted if a tie occurred (or Vee is immune), to help Neleh advance. Pappy got a lot of negative editing in Episode 12, and appeared physically and mentally spent. Stick a fork in him. Of course, since it's a tie, Kathy could go here, too. But we think it's more likely Paschal does.
F3 IC - Endurance?
The holding-the-idol challenge has served the show well as an F3 immunity challenge in S1 and S3. Why change now? It's possible some other challenge along similar lines could be used here, but the idea is that the winner really has to want it. Any of the three women could potentially win here. If there's any edge, as the youngest and least susceptible to age-related amplification of fatigue, Neleh seems like a slight favorite here. For a Neleh-Vee final two, it seems most likely that Neleh pulls it off, since Vee or Kathy would each probably take the other to the final two, and leave Neleh behind.
F3 Boot - Kathy
How to separate these options? John has sworn that he would exact vengeance for his boot come jury vote time, and Neleh was the one who convinced Pappy to join her in toppling John's regime. Tammy commented post-show about how smug Neleh was once she was in power. Robert repeatedly said he was now on the strongest alliance. These signs point to Neleh being present, and voted against. Suggesting strong, intense Kathy ends up right where strong, intense Lex did: third place.
F2: Jury vote
Working against Neleh is the final immunity win, the perception that she rode Paschal's coattails, and her last-minute betrayal of John and the Rotu Four.
Working against Vee is her original tribe (from which only Sean remains on the jury), suggestions from Tammy and Robert that she didn't pull her weight around camp, and a reputation as someone who flip-flopped on alliances whenever convenient for her purposes.
On the plus side, Neleh has her charm working for her (unless Sean has sufficiently gotten his distrust across to the jury).
Vee seems to get along with about everyone, at least a little bit, has not ruffled any feathers, and got to the F2 despite being from the losingest tribe in Survivor history. And the biggest sign? In her interview with Sean on Friday, when she knew who won, Rosie O'Donnell failed to ask him a single question about Vee, despite the fact that she was his closest ally, and they spent all 36 days on the island together. In fact, pretty much everyone has been silent on the subject of Vee in recent weeks. Why? Because they can't say much without saying too much. Go Vee.
Here's how a
Vee-Neleh vote might shake out:
Sole survivor: Could go either way if the Rotu Four do not vote together, but looks like a distinct Vee-ward tilt. Probably 6-1 or 5-2. Go Vee.
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