11: "Marquesan Vacation" (Air date: May 9th, 2002; filmed December
Here's this week's
misdirection from CBS:
11: "Marquesan Vacation"
View the web preview here.
we think it means
An unexpected event brings the castaways to tears for what one
castaway calls "the most emotional moment of my life."
This would be the always-touching visit from home, a.k.a. more
tears from Sean. As long as there's no singing, we're okay
with that. Then again, it looks like everyone's bawling
this week, so tears may be no help.
Survivor repeats itself. Although slightly more dastardly
A newcomer joins the tribe, but the honeymoon is short-lived when
it comes time to plotting strategy.
Jeff Probst finally gets the boot? They capture Uncle Cameraman,
but Mark Burnett stops them just as they're about to carve him
up for dinner? Nah, the RC winner's friend or family member just
stops by, just like Colby's mom did.
A "young princess" becomes a new target.
Princess Neleh will be set up as the bootee yet again. So
she won't be going.
RC - Visit
from home? Vue?
The date here (December 13th) fits exactly with a Tahiti
Presse article that claimed an RC winner received a visit from
home. There were several clear inaccuracies in the article,
including the number of players left (they said eight), and we have
reason to believe that this does not involve anyone's parents.
It's unclear if the Saturn Vue is involved here, or if the friends
and family alone are the prize. Unless the Ep12 RC is the food
auction, there's a chance the Vacation in the title is seen from a
Vue. Anyway, the shocked faces in the preview belong to the
contestants while they're at this challenge. It's about time
for letters/videos from home, so that's probably the questions they
have to answer to win the RC. The web promo shows the RC winner's
friend to be male (apparently), and mentions "honeymoon." Could
it be Neleh's boyfriend? Vee's fiance, Leander? Kathy's son
(that would be in the Colby's mom sense)? The preview shot is
sufficiently difficult to see as to allow any of these possibilities,
with the highest likelihood going to Vee and Kathy. We'll go
Sean auditions for the new Tarzan movie, and there's another
guest appearance by Uncle Cameraman! Hi, Unky!
Meanwhile, Kathy's upset that she has to get across all those
circles to beat Sean in the RC.
Looks like everyone's getting in on the crying game.
The special guest goes to camp. Is that Kathy in front of him?
Kathy has a 20-year-old son.
Most likely the hike to the IC, not the return.
Vee seems to be celebrating the breaking of someone's plate at
the IC. Either that or she just lost. One of the two.
IC - Slingshots
Can Robert win again? Probably not. So he's most likely
gone, and the IC is irrelevant to the boot. Vee
was a targeted by Tammy and Robert for unexplained reasons in the
previous episode, and she's a military-trained marksman (probably
not with slingshots, though). She's also the only person shown
participating in the IC, so she's as good a guess as anyone as the
IC winner. Another possibility is Robert, though, since he needs
it most. One of these two (Vee
or Robert) is your likely victor.
Could there be a tie? As votedoff.tv poster adnaps21
has pointed out repeatedly, the recent TV promos have used the odd
phrasing of "Don't miss the elimination vote." Now, this is
most likely just poorly-phrased hype for a traditional boot, but seeing
as this is the second-to-last opportunity for a tie vote, it's possible
one could happen. Some promos suggest Sean and Vee think about
ditching their P/N alliance for a new one (Robert, presumably), which
could theoretically pit Sean, Vee and Robert against Paschal, Neleh
and Kathy. But Kathy has also been tight with Sean in deciding
her fate recently, so it could be a four-on-two situation, with Neleh
vulnerable. But that's only likely if Robert is immune.
No point ruffling feathers this late in the game for n good reason.
is the bootee unless he pulls off another improbable IC win.
Given the huge amount of misdirection in this week's promos (strongly
insinuating someone gets hurt... ha!), we suspect nothing of the sort
happens. So Kathy is forced to choose between the two cities
of Neleh-Paschal and Sean-Vee in episode 12. And since she's
not all that fond of Neleh anymore, that won't be too surprising,
either. There is a slight possibility that Neleh or Vee
gets whacked instead of Robert (IC-dependent chance, of course), in
which case it would be Robert choosing in Ep12. But Robert
is the favorite this time.