Jeff Pitman's Survivor: San Juan del Sur recaps
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Survivor: San Juan del Sur boxscores - Episode 2
"Method to This Madness"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: October 2, 2014

Filmed: June 5-7, 2014 ||  Aired: October 1, 2014
Julie wins RC
Hunahpu wins immunity
Val and Baylor tie, 4-4; Val out on re-vote

 

  • Ep2 Reward challenge: "Parallel Universe" - Julie wins; John Rocker exiled with Jeremy. Hunahpu trades their just-won fishing gear for a replacement flint.
  • Ep2 Immunity challenge: "Sumo at Sea" - Hunahpu wins again, but barely (5-4).
  • Ep2 voted out: Val, 4-4 (5-1 on revote) over Baylor. Not entirely sure on the initial voting, see below.

 

Episode 2 scoring notes

Ep2 first round votesNotes: We can verify all but Dale's and Alec's first-round votes at Tribal. Here's the run down of how things appear to have gone down (see also picture at right, click to see larger version).

 

- The obvious ones: (Baylor, Rocker, Wes, Val) Votes #1-4 were are shown as they were cast, so they're easy.

- Jaclyn's is also fairly obvious. She was the sole vote for Baylor on the re-vote, and the handwriting is pretty similar in round 1.

- Alec's is a special case. For whatever reason, Survivor used his re-vote ballot (shown at the end) as a vote shown in the first round. So we think he probably voted Val initially, as well. If he and Baylor indeed have a showmance going, it would make sense for him to be a Val voter, anyway.

- Josh isn't shown writing, but he's shown starting to write in the first round. And the paper there (see the bottom left corner of the ballot, in particular) is a match for vote #8, and none of the others in question.

- That leaves Dale. We initially thought the mix of capitals and lowercase on the last Baylor vote matched Alec's similarly jumbled Ep.1 vote for Nadiya. Helpfully, Dale's Ep.1 vote wasn't shown at all. By process of elimination, he also mixed caps and lowercase in Ep.1, but it would be nice if Survivor's editors could bother to actually show the very basic game function of people voting. Right?

 

Vote count (as far as we can tell):

- Val received 4 votes, from Alec, Baylor, Josh, and Wes (voted out, 4-4, out on revote).

- Baylor received 4 votes, from Dale, Jaclyn, John, and Val.

Episode 2 boxscore
Duel Immunity Challenge Tribal Council stats
Contestant ChW ChA ChW ChA SO VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Alec - - 0.000 0.125 - 1 - 8 1 1.00 7.00
Baylor - - 0.000 0.125 - 1 4 8 1 0.85 3.11
Dale - - 0.000 0.125 - 0 - 8 1 0.41 2.00
Jaclyn - - 0.000 0.125 - 0 - 8 1 0.00 0.00
John 0.0 0.5 0.000 0.125 - 0 - 8 1 0.50 3.50
Josh - - 0.000 0.125 - 1 - 8 1 0.50 3.50
Val - - 0.000 0.125 - 0 4 8 1 -0.12 0.00
Wes - - 0.000 0.125 - 1 - 8 1 1.00 7.00
Drew - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Jeremy - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Jon - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Julie 0.5 0.5 - 0.125 1 - - - - NA NA
Keith - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Kelley - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Missy - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Natalie - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Reed - - 0.125 0.125 - - - - - NA NA
Nadiya - - - - - - - - - -0.56 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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