Jeff Pitman's Survivor: San Juan del Sur recaps
Episode 10: "This Is Where We Build Trust"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: November 27, 2014
Survivor 29: San Juan del Sur Episode 10 boxscore

Filmed: June 23-25, 2014 |  Aired: November 19, 2014
Yellow team wins, more swapping out
Idol for Natalie
Reed wins IC
Wes doubly idoled, 2-[0]-[0]

 

  • Ep10 Reward challenge: "Dirty Water Dog" - Two teams, despite the option of three teams of three, so Keith sits out. Jon, Jaclyn, Alec, Reed win a trip to bring baseball equipment to local kids. Reed volunteers to swap out for Missy.
  • Ep10 exile: Wes is sent packing, and is not seen again until the IC the next day.
  • Ep10 idol: Natalie finds another idol in camp, which had been there since at least pre-merge.
  • Ep10 Immunity challenge: "Uncomfortably Numb" - Reed wins, after newly idol-bearing Natalie drops out.
  • Ep10 voted out: Wesley gets double-idoled, 2-[0]-[0], as Jon and Keith both play idols.
Episode 10 scoring notes
  • Schoolyard picks: There's no reason that Keith had to sit out here. He probably shouldn't be penalized for not playing, but all the same, his tribemates didn't feel he was worth picking (but Missy was). Possibly unfair, but Keith still gets charged with a ChA for the RC (as did Missy two episodes ago).
  • Also, since it's such a rare occurrence that idols cancel out votes: successfully playing an idol means no VAP count, just as in the actual game. Good news for Jon and Keith.
Vote count:
  • [*Jonreceived four votes, from Reed, Keith, Wes, and Alec, all voided by Jon's idol play.]
  • [*Keith received three votes, from Natalie, Missy, and Baylor, all voided by Keith's idol play.]
  • Wes received two votes, from Jon and Jaclyn (idoled out, 2-[0]-[0]).
Episode 10 boxscore - Challenges
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge Overall score
Contestant ChW ChA SO ChW ChA Plc %Fin MPF
Keith - 0.25 1 0 1 4 0.67 81%
Natalie 0.00 0.25 - 0 1 2 0.89 64%
Reed 0.25 0.25 - 1 1 1 1.00 60%
Wes 0.00 0.25 - 0 1 5 0.56 59%
Baylor 0.00 0.25 - 0 1 t-6 0.39 59%
Alec 0.25 0.25 - 0 1 3 0.78 45%
Jaclyn 0.25 0.25 - 0 1 t-6 0.39 45%
Jon 0.25 0.25 - 0 1 9 0.11 40%
Missy 0.00 0.25 - 0 1 8 0.22 34%
Episode 10 boxscore - Tribal Council
Tribal Council stats Overall scores
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Jon 1 0* 9 1 0.86 5.82
Jaclyn 1 - 9 1 0.82 5.67
Natalie 0 - 9 1 0.70 4.61
Alec 0 - 9 1 0.67 4.43
Reed 0 - 9 1 0.71 3.86
Wes 0 2 9 1 0.69 3.51
Baylor 0 - 9 1 0.95 2.53
Keith 0 0* 9 1 0.39 1.95
Missy 0 - 9 1 0.74 4.14
Jeremy - - - - 1.16 4.69
Josh - - - - 0.61 1.88
Julie* - - - - 0.11 1.70
Dale - - - - 0.35 0.63
Kelley - - - - 0.94 2.15
Drew - - - - 0.15 0.40
John - - - - 0.26 1.04
Val - - - - -0.12 0.00
Nadiya - - - - -0.56 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.