Episode 7: "Surprise Enemy Visit"
Survivor:
Guatemala boxscores Episode
7
Filmed: July 12-14, 2005 | Aired:
October 27, 2005
- Ep7 Reward challenge: "Spooling Around" - Rafe/Lydia/Steph fall; Yaxhá wins ziplining and chocolate.
- Ep7 Immunity challenge: "Tomb Raider" - Brandon can't dig up the 11th piece; Nakúm wins.
- Voted out: Amy, 4-1 over perennial decoy Bobby Jon.
Episode 7 scoring notes
- The outcome here, particularly in the IC, highlights just how much of a factor luck plays in Survivor. Yaxhá had a late-IC advantage of two pieces, only to watch helplessly as Nakúm dug up piece after piece that they needed. And it was particularly frustrating because the pieces that were actually buried could have been for either team, but Nakúm only ever seemed to find their own, going from down 10-8 to completed at 12-10 in seemingly no time. Had Nakúm lost, it would have been an even 5-5 merge, and original tribes might have played more of a factor in post-merge alliances. Instead, the 6-4 advantage Nakúm enjoys plays out almost exactly as expected (except for Danni winning).
- It's also a bit galling to watch Gary feign concern over Amy's boot, when Brian's last-ditch pitch for original-Yaxhá unity to Gary went unheeded just three days earlier. Clearly, Gary felt closer to Danni than to Amy. Maybe it was Amy's constant "Gary, if you're really an ex-NFL player, I am gonna BEAT YOU DOWN" refrain. Maybe it was that Gary and Danni bonded over their shared religiosity. Whatever the case, the half-hearted attempt to make Amy seem like she had a shot (prior to Tribal Council) seemed particularly cruel, especially because the four people who voted against her got to merge immediately afterward.
- That and all the talk of Amy's being "deserving" (which she obviously was) failed to carry over to her even being eligible to be voted in for Second Chance. Maybe they'll remember her for Second Chance the Second.
- One final note of praise: that sequence of Rafe and Lydia (and Stephenie) repeatedly falling over in the RC? It was topped in hilarity only by Bobby Jon trying to catch fish (with his mouth!) using his shoulder scabs as bait. For all the dark hints of looming pathos (Cindy and Jamie not wanting to even visit the Yaxhás), this was a well-balanced episode, leavening the struggle with dark humor.
Vote count:
- Amy received 4 votes, from Danni, Gary, Bobby Jon, and Brandon (voted out, 4-1).
- Bobby Jon received 1 vote, from Amy.
| Reward Challenge | Immunity Challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | SO | ChW | ChA | SO | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Danni | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.64 | 8.10 |
| Gary | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.35 | 7.60 |
| Brandon | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1 | - | - | 5 | 1 | 1.39 | 6.35 |
| Bobby Jon | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1.62 | 5.76 |
| Amy | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1.12 | 3.40 |
| Rafe | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.60 | 8.62 |
| Stephenie | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.23 | 7.62 |
| Jamie | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.23 | 7.62 |
| Judd | - | 0.20 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.40 | 6.72 |
| Cindy | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | 0.20 | 0.20 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.08 | 5.79 |
| Lydia | 0.00 | 0.20 | - | - | 0.20 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1.05 | 3.37 |
| Brian | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99 | 2.31 |
| Margaret | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.63 | 1.77 |
| Blake | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.12 | 2.45 |
| Brooke | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06 | 2.17 |
| Brianna | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.45 | 1.38 |
| Morgan | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.65 | 0.11 |
| Jim | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.39 | 0.11 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
ADVERTISEMENT