Episode 6: "Big Ball, Big Mouth,
Big Trouble"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: August 16,
2015
Survivor:
Guatemala boxscores Episode
6
Filmed: July 11, 2005 | Aired:
October 20, 2005
- Ep6 Reward challenge: "Boulder Smash" -
Nakúm (pretty much just Judd) wins, 3-2.
- Ep6 Individual immunity challenge:
"Sudden Death" - Just Nakúm competes, and Rafe "wins."
- Voted out of Nakúm: Margaret, 6-1
over Judd.
- Voted out of Yaxhá: Brian, 5-1 over
Bobby Jon.
Episode 6 scoring notes
- This episode should better have been called "Magical
Rafe," since he somehow conjured not one, but two challenge
wins out of almost zero effort. He did not participate at
all in the RC, but thanks to Nakúm winning all three
heats in which Judd steamrolled the opposition, Rafe was
eligible to compete in the individual IC. Where, thanks
again to Judd, Rafe essentially had the answer staring him
in the face, but it took Judd looking over at his tiles and
*telling* him the answer *several times* before he realized
the correct tile order and "won" the necklace.
- Then Rafe was given the added bonus of attending
Yaxhá's Tribal Council, and awarding individual
immunity to someone (without their knowledge, prior to the
vote), after hearing the Tribal Council proceedings. To
their credit, the ex-Nakúms at New Yaxhá put on
quite a performance, heaping praise on Brian and Amy, the
two people they were actually considering booting. Rafe
seemingly fell for this ruse, promptly wasting his immunity
vote on Gary. Or maybe Rafe just voted for Gary because of
the many meals of termites and ants they had shared. Who
knows? Either way, Rafe received about 50% of the screen
time in this episode, despite being at best peripherally
involved in what was going on. Survivor: Guatemala,
ladies and gentlemen.
- Perhaps we're just bitter that we misremembered Brian's
explanation of how voting for Bobby Jon could have worked
(which actually aired on The
Early Show the next day) as having been in the
episode itself. Because it should have been there. It was
the birth of the vote split: a planned 3-2-1 split, with the
Yaxhá three voting Bobby Jon, while tricking the
Nakúms into splitting their votes between Brian and
Amy. Notably, Brian couldn't get any traction for this plan,
mainly because Gary wanted to keep Bobby Jon, and also
because Gary is perfectly okay with telling lies, but only
if it's about not having been an NFL quarterback. All other
lies are verboten.
- So that split never came to pass, and instead Cirie
wrangled the first successful version of this during the
next season, in Panama. Still, just going through
the motions and fleshing out Brian's scheme with actual
screen time might have created more mystery at Tribal
Council than the several minutes spent wondering whether
Judd simply misremembered how many beers he'd consumed, or
whether some other freakin' scumbag drank Judd's damn beer,
man.
- Maybe the editors felt they had enough to work with, what
with Magical Rafe's magical Gary vote coming in at the end
to save the day. Why distract from that?
Nakúm vote count:
- Margaret received 6 votes, from
Stephenie, Rafe, Lydia, Cindy, Judd, and Jamie (voted out,
6-1).
- Judd received 1 vote, from Margaret.
Yaxhá vote count:
- Brian received 5 votes, from Danni, Gary,
Bobby Jon, Brandon, and Amy (voted out, 5-1).
- Bobby Jon received 1 vote, from Brian.
- Gary received (sealed in an envelope,
read after the vote) immunity from Rafe, which was moot.
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal
challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win,
depending on if they participated (no points for sitting
out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant
gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or
individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as
half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge
wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used
to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges
(same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an
appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply,
ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant
sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The
number of times the contestant has voted for the person
who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial
votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special
case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast
(by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player.
The total number of tribal council votes cast against
the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no
penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol
(if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a
final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee
receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during
the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only
initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote
totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances.
The number of times a contestant has attended tribal
council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent.
Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players
controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing
receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB -
(VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council
Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as
a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform
number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows:
wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried
(1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly
rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one
vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that
effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling
factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14
episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring
maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high
scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for
the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji),
theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors.
Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT
Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury
votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This
number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv
(multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW
and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply
the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%)
+ Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after
the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a
simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted
TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The
latter two max out at six points total, for a
theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.