Episode 13: "Absolute Banger Season"
Survivor
44 Episode 13
boxscore
Filmed: June 28-30, 2022 | Aired:
May 24, 2023
- Ep.13 Final 5 IC: "Lone Palm Express" - Shockingly, the challenge ends in a puzzle (repeated from 42) and Carson aces it, winning imunity.
- Ep.13 Final 5 voted out: Despite an idol being at the new camp and rumblings of Carolyn turning on Yam Yam, it's Lauren, 3-1-1 over Yam Yam and Heidi.
- F4 IC: "Simmotion" - After repeating the puzzle from the 42 F5 IC, they just repeat the entire 42 (and DvG, etc.) F4 IC. It's a "classic," apparently. Sigh. But Heidi wins, so good for her.
- F4 out via fire: Heidi ill-advisedly tries the Underwood gambit, gives up immunity to challenge Carson in fire, and wins easily, in record time.
- Ep.13 jury vote: All three finalists give strong arguments, but it's yet another new era blowout, as Yam Yam is crowned victor, 7-1-0, over Heidi and Carolyn, respectively.
Episode 13 scoring notes
- F5 IC: For scoring purposes, we're going with the way Probst called it: Heidi finished second, Yam Yam and Lauren were tied for 3rd, and late-arriving Carolyn finished 5th.
- Forced F4 fire is still stupid: As always, there's no score adjustment for Carson leaving at F4 via fire, without being against. Oh well, yet another person with zero VAP being "voted out." Carson leaves the game with the highest SurvAv for the season, not coincidentally. This is fine.
F5 vote count:
- Lauren received 3 votes, from Carolyn, Carson, and Heidi (voted out, 3-1-1).
- Heidi received 1 vote, from Yam Yam.
- Yam Yam received 1 vote, from Lauren.
Jury vote count:
- Yam Yam received 7 votes, from Brandon, Carson, Danny, Frannie, Heidi, Lauren, and Matt (Winner, 7-1-0).
- Heidi received 1 vote, from Danny.
- Carolyn received 0 votes.
| F5 Immunity challenge | F4 Immunity challenge | Overall scores | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | MPF |
| Heidi | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.80 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 70.0% |
| Carson | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.75 | 62.7% |
| Yam Yam | 0 | 1 | t-3 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | 57.1% |
| Lauren | 0 | 1 | t-3 | 0.50 | - | - | - | - | 55.8% |
| Carolyn | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | 28.8% |
| Tribal council stats | Jury vote | Overall scores | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv | JVF | TotJ | JV% |
| Yam Yam | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0.88 | 1.71 | 8.77 |
| Heidi | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0.13 | 0.99 | 4.44 |
| Carolyn | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 3.50 |
| Carson | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | - | - | - | 1.22 | 9.31 |
| Lauren | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - | - | - | 0.69 | 5.20 |
| Jaime | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.41 | 1.86 |
| Danny | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96 | 3.73 |
| Frannie | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.15 | 5.75 |
| Kane | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.16 | 0.99 |
| Brandon | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.06 | 4.03 |
| Matt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.31 | 1.30 |
| Josh | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.94 | 2.41 |
| Matthew | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.09 | 0.66 |
| Sarah | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| Claire | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.80 | 0.17 |
| Helen | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.57 | 0.10 |
| Maddy | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.11 | 0.08 |
| Bruce | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.00 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
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