Episode 7: "Let's Not Be Cute About It"
Survivor
44 Episode 7
boxscore
Filmed: June 18, 2022 | Aired:
April 12, 2023
- Ep.7 IC: "Audio Slave" - For some reason, Carson can't compete, even though it's an individual IC. That's probably because it's also a team RC, in which last person standing gets Pb&J for their "team," and they're also all immune, but can't vote at Tribal. That's Frannie, beating Brandon (who also wins immunity).
- Ep.7 advantage: The winning team also gets to race around in the jungle for 15 keys, one of which unlocks the birdcage, which contains a "new advantage". It's "Control a Vote," which is just a Steal-a-Vote that the person stolen from has to fill out for you when you can't vote yourself. Heidi wins it.
- Ep.7 out: Heidi forces Lauren to vote for Yam Yam, so Brandon and Jaime decide to vote out Matt (with Yam Yam's help). Matt is out, 3-2.
Episode 7 scoring notes
- The challenge: This entire episode is a mess, scoring-wise. First, Carson's forced sit-out: In the past, when a contestant misses an individual challenge through something over which nobody has any control (a rock draw in this case), there is no ChA charged, and it has no effect on MPF. For the rest, the IC is really two independent 5-person individual challenges (like when they do separate necklaces for a man and a woman). So even though Jaime finished ahead of all but one person on the other team, she finished fourth out of five, whereas Danny (who dropped before her) finished in 2nd place. Brandon (who finished second overall) finished first. Fine.
- *The advantage: Lauren was physically at Tribal and personally wrote Yam Yam's name down. But since this action was dictated by Heidi's advantage, all credit for the vote (O VFB, 5 TotV, 1 TCA) should go to Heidi, and none to Lauren. Second time Lauren hasn't voted this season, although this time she did vote, just not really.
Vote count:
- Matt received 3 votes, from Brandon, Jaime, and Yam Yam (voted out, 3-2).
- Yam Yam received 2 votes, from [Heidi] and Matt.
| Immunity challenge | Overall scores | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | SO | Plc | %Fin | MPF |
| Brandon | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1.00 | 100% |
| Frannie | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1.00 | 100% |
| Danny | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 0.80 | 80% |
| Yam Yam | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 0.80 | 80% |
| Heidi | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0.60 | 60% |
| Matt | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0.60 | 60% |
| Jaime | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 0.40 | 40% |
| Kane | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | 0.40 | 40% |
| Carolyn | 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 0.20 | 20% |
| Lauren | 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 0.20 | 20% |
| Carson | - | - | 1 | - | - | N/A |
| Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Frannie | - | - | - | - | 1.67 | 8.88 |
| Danny | - | - | - | - | 1.40 | 8.13 |
| Carson | - | - | - | - | 1.30 | 7.85 |
| Lauren | -* | - | - | - | 1.19 | 7.53 |
| Brandon | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.48 | 6.95 |
| Heidi | 0 | - | 5 | 1 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| Jaime | 1 | - | 5 | 1 | 0.96 | 5.49 |
| Carolyn | - | - | - | - | 0.79 | 4.13 |
| Yam Yam | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.78 | 2.56 |
| Matt | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 1.30 |
| Kane | - | - | - | - | 0.32 | 0.99 |
| Josh | - | - | - | - | 0.94 | 2.41 |
| Matthew | - | - | - | - | 0.09 | 0.66 |
| Sarah | - | - | - | - | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| Claire | - | - | - | - | -0.80 | 0.17 |
| Helen | - | - | - | - | -0.57 | 0.10 |
| Maddy | - | - | - | - | -0.11 | 0.08 |
| Bruce | - | - | - | - | -1.00 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
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