Episode 11: "You Started, You're Finishing"
Survivor 21: Nicaragua Episode 11
boxscore
Filmed: July 11, 2010 | Aired: December 1, 2010
- Ep.11 RC: "Gulliver's Travels" - NaOnka's team pulls off a late-challenge rally, wins. NaOnka and Purple Kelly announce their intent to quit, which Probst transfers to Tribal that night.
- Ep.11 reward: The blue team goes to see a Jack Black movie, plus Dan, who guessed right on which team would win. Minus Holly, who gave up her spot in exchange for rice and a new tarp for the tribe.
- Ep.11 quits: As expected, NaOnka and Purple Kelly both quit, citing the freezing conditions (especially the previous night). PK had only a tank top. NaOnka had a wrap, but also (apparently) has sickle cell anemia, which gives her joint pain when cold and/or stressed. Both conveniently sped past/mocked by Probst and the editors.
Episode 11 scoring notes
- *The quit score adjustments: The "Tribal Council stats" in this table merely reflect the score adjustments for medevacs/quits, which are treated as unanimous boots by the tribe. So 9 VAP, 9 TotV, and 1 TCA to adjust NaOnka's score, 8/8/1 for Purple Kelly. As always.
Vote count:
- No votes were cast.
| Reward challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | SO | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Chase | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.22 | 8.26 |
| Holly | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.17 | 7.96 |
| Sash | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95 | 6.51 |
| Benry | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.05 | 5.93 |
| Fabio | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.83 | 5.38 |
| Jane | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.92 | 3.85 |
| Dan | - | 0.25 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 0.98 | 3.38 |
| Purple Kelly | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | 8* | 8* | 1* | 0.79 | 2.20 |
| NaOnka | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | 9* | 9* | 1* | 1.05 | 2.76 |
| Brenda | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07 | 2.85 |
| Marty | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.65 | 1.34 |
| Alina | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.70 | 1.81 |
| Jill | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.27 | 4.15 |
| Yve | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.71 | 1.78 |
| Kelly B | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.61 | 2.34 |
| Tyrone | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.05 | 2.35 |
| Jimmy T | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.87 | 2.20 |
| Jimmy J | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.66 | 1.29 |
| Shannon | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.23 | 0.10 |
| Wendy | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.90 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.