Survivor 16: Micronesia boxscores
Episode 14: "Stir the Pot!"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: August 12, 2024
Survivor: Micronesia Episode 14 boxscore

Filmed: December 4-6, 2007 | Aired: Sunday, May 11, 2008
Amanda wins F4 IC
Natalie out, 3-1

 

  • Ep.14 Final 4 IC: "Crystal Method" - It's not even close. With Erik out of the way, Amanda runs away with this one.
  • Final 4 voted out: It's either Cirie or Natalie, obviously. In the end (not shown), Parvati and Amanda decide to go into the F3 Favorites Strong (a wise choice if it's a Final 3, which they all delude themselves into believing, especially Parvati).

 

Amanda wins F3 IC
Cirie out, 1-0

 

  • Ep.14 Final 3 IC: "Don't Drop the Marble" - It's the challenge that will later be named "The Ball Drop," and will be the bane of Malcolm. But here, as Cirie admits, it's the perfect challenge for a nurse with non-shaky hands ... she just falls short, on the longest-possible set of blocks. Sigh. Amanda wins, which means Cirie's obviously out.
  • Final 3 voted out: Despite both Cirie and Parvati (!) pointing out to Amanda that Cirie has pissed off way more jurors than Parvati has, Amanda decides to stick with her bestie anyway, even if it means losing. (Narrator: "It did.")

 

Parvati wins jury vote, 5-3

 

  • Final Tribal & jury vote: It's a pretty evenly matched battle, with good answers from both finalists ... until the very end, when Amanda bizarrely asserts that Parvati was running the game strategically, and Cirie was not (to Cirie!). Somehow, the jury interprets this (inaccurate) statement as good for Parvati, and Parvati wins, 5-3.
Episode 14 scoring notes

The jury vote: "Parvati ran the game" is just a bizarre last-second jury fumble by Amanda, and one that's completely unsupported by the edit! Of the four much-ballyhooed blindsides, Ozzy's was 100% Cirie's work, while Jason's was mostly Natalie's. Alexis getting idoled out by Amanda was 100% Amanda's own move! Parvati was literally the only other person who knew about it, and she played a minor role! Erik's blindside was a group effort, but it was Cirie's idea, she gave Natalie the script, and Natalie and Cirie did all the follow-up work. Of the five Black Widows, Parvati probably had the *least* strategic influence, except for Alexis.

 

Where Parvati won was 100% in her social game. Everyone liked her! (Despite her being the person "who never shuts up," according to the Touchy Subjects challenge.) She projected effortless cool, seemed comfortable the whole game, and that air of confidence is something jurors tend to see as a winning game. Parvati found herself perfectly set up by the swap (as James pointed out to her the day before the merge), never had to threaten that position because her post-swap tribe won every immunity (thanks to James, Jason, and Eliza), and thus had late-game options with either Natalie/Alexis or Amanda/Cirie. She came up with the "stir the pot!" thing (probably?), and was obviously the glue holding the women's alliance together. But she was a passenger in the actual day-to-day strategy. As such, her win is closest to Jenna Morasca's in The Amazon.

 

In contrast, as Alexis vocalized at Final Tribal, Amanda seemed aloof and did not engage as closely with the Fans (except Erik) as Parvati did. She also was clearly struggling from filming two seasons back-to-back, and her late-game emotional breakdown in deciding whether to boot Cirie and Parvati at F3, instead of humanizing her to the jury, came off as insincere - purely because she'd been so good at tricking people at Tribal during the Alexis and Erik blindsides. Unlike her opponent, Amanda seemed to struggle with the ethics of the game, which looked weak/indecisive (or inauthentic). Parvati didn't care about anyone's feelings and seemed to be having fun, which looked strong. That was enough to earn the deciding two votes.

F4 vote count:
  • Natalie received 3 votes, from Amanda, Cirie, and Parvati (voted out, 3-1).
  • Cirie received 1 vote, from Natalie.
F3 vote count:
  • Cirie received 1 vote, from Amanda (voted out, 1-0).
Jury vote count:
  • Parvati received 5 votes, from Eliza, Jason, Alexis, Natalie, and Cirie (winner, 5-3).
  • Amanda received 3 votes, from Ozzy, James, and Erik.
Episode 14 boxscore - challenges

F4 Immunity Challenge F3 Immunity Challenge Overall score
Contestant ChW ChA Plc % Fin ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPF
Amanda 1 1 1 1.00 1 1 1 1.00 61.1%
Natalie 0 1 2 0.75 - - - - 57.3%
Cirie 0 1 t-3 0.38 0 1 2 0.67 44.6%
Parvati 0 1 t-3 0.38 0 1 3 0.33 41.1%
Episode 14 boxscore - Tribal Councils

F4 Tribal council stats F3 Tribal council stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA VFB VAP TotV TCA
Amanda 1 0 4 1 1 0 1 1
Parvati 1 0 4 1 - - - -
Cirie 1 1 4 1 - 1 1 -
Natalie 0 3 4 1 - - - -
Episode 14 boxscore - Jury vote

Jury vote stats Overall scores
Contestant JVF TotJ JV% SurvSc SurvAv
Amanda 3 8 0.38 1.54 11.60
Parvati 5 8 0.63 1.80 9.42
Cirie - - - 0.97 4.31
Natalie - - - 0.71 3.52
Erik - - - 1.09 6.25
Alexis - - - 0.74 4.25
James - - - 0.68 2.52
Jason - - - 0.56 2.88
Ozzy - - - 1.04 2.77
Eliza - - - 0.95 2.98
Ami - - - 0.88 2.97
Tracy - - - 0.71 1.91
Kathy* - - - 1.26 3.44
Chet - - - 0.76 1.52
Penner* - - - 0.92 1.64
Joel - - - 0.37 1.14
Mikey B - - - -0.03 0.21
Yau-Man - - - 1.19 2.62
Mary - - - -0.52 0.10
Fairplay - - - -0.90 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.