Episode 5: "Master Class in Deception"
Survivor 48 Episode 5 boxscore
Filmed: July 3-4, 2024 | Aired:
March 26, 2025
- Ep.5 RC: "Enter Sandbag" - It's "Rod Screw-It," the Chris Noble favorite from Ghost Island, except with the sandbag/screw thing at the start, and the end has lots of balls. Lagi wins, Vula second. Civa last.
- Ep.5 reward: Is eating at the Sanctuary really a better reward than being able to go back to camp and have the same amount of food? Lagi pretends it is for the cameras, at least.
- Ep.5 IC: "48 Jump Street" - New Vula blows everyone away, waits patiently for Lagi (Eva) to secure second place ... and Joe leaps into action after Eva has an episode after a frustrating grind on the table maze. (*sniff*)
- Ep.5 idol: Lagi collectively figures out all the letters to Star's beware idol, Eva eventually opens it, and Star lets Eva keep the idol.
- Ep.5 Tribal: Bianca admits to Cedrek right before Tribal that she has no vote, so that he trusts her, and ... well, it doesn't pay off. Bianca is out, 2-1-1 over Chrissy and Sai.
Episode 5 scoring notes
- *Bianca's no vote: Thanks a lot, Probst! In order for Bianca to have a score, she needed a phantom TCA, even though she never cast a vote (much like Chris Noble). Officially, she received 2 VAP with 0 TCA, but for scoring reasons we added one. Actual totals shown with asterisk below.
Vote count:
- *Bianca received 2 votes, from Cedrek and Chrissy (voted out, 2-1-1).
- Chrissy received 1 vote, from Sai.
- Sai received 1 vote, from Mitch.
| Reward challenge | Immunity challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | SO | ChW | ChA | SO | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Chrissy | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1.09 | 6.11 |
| Cedrek | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 1 | 0.82 | 5.35 |
| Sai | - | 0.25 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.53 | 2.43 |
| Bianca | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | - | 2 | 4 | 0* | -0.14 | 0.53 |
| Mitch | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 0.00 | 0.25 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| Mary | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.39 | 0.58 |
| Charity | - | 0.25 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | NA | NA |
| David | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | NA | NA |
| Eva | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | NA | NA |
| Star | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | 0.25 | 1 | - | - | - | - | NA | NA |
| Kyle | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.44 | 7.66 |
| Kamilla | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 1.39 | 7.58 |
| Joe | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| Shauhin | 0.13 | 0.25 | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| Thomas | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.19 | 0.68 |
| Justin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| Kevin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Stephanie | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.80 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.