Survivor: David vs. Goliath boxscores
Episode 9: "Breadth-First Search"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: November 23, 2018
Survivor: David vs. Goliath  boxscores Episode 9

Filmed: April 20-22, 2018 |  Aired: November 21, 2018
Orange team wins
Nick finds vote steal
Alec wins IC
Vote steal + idol + nullifier
Dan voted out, 6-3-2

 

  • Ep.9 Reward challenge: "All Mixed Up" - The orange team leads heading into the puzzle, wins burgers. No chance of beer for Carl, though.
  • Ep.9 idol: The Davids search en masse on Morning 24; Christian keeps it up, finds an idol.
  • Ep.9 Immunity challenge: "Roll Away the Dew" - Alec wins by leaps and bounds
  • Ep.9 Tribal chaos: Nick plays his vote steal, taking Alison's vote. Carl plays his idol nullifier (unshown, but on Dan). Dan plays his idol. Suddenly, the Davids have a 6-5 advantage.
  • Ep.9 voted out: Dan, 6-3-2 over Christian and Angelina, respectively. Alison doesn't vote, Nick votes twice for Dan.
Episode 9 scoring notes
  • RC: As in previous instances, Carl gets charged with a ChA and sit-out here, even though he was ineligible to compete.
  • IC placement: Alec won, obviously. Dan, Angelina, and Carl all had one ball placed. Alison, Kara were working on their first ball. The rest hadn't even started on the table maze.
  • Vote steal: Nick gets 2 VFB, 2 TCA. Alison gets 0 VFB, 0 TCA. Both see 11 total votes, though.
  • Idol nullifier: Do we count Dan's play as voiding six votes against? He did everything correctly for that to happen, and it's not his fault that a Deus Ex Machina emerged and made the votes count again.
Vote count:
  • Dan received 6 votes, from Carl, Christian, Davie, Gabby, Nick, and Nick* (voted out, 6-3-2).
  • Christian received 3 votes, from Mike, Angelina, and Dan.
  • Angelina received 2 votes, from Alec and Alison.
Episode 9 boxscore - challenges

Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge
Contestant ChW ChA SO ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPF
Dan 0.20 0.20 - 0 1 t-2 0.82 88.8%
Alec 0.20 0.20 - 1 1 1 1.00 78.6%
Angelina 0.00 0.20 - 0 1 t-2 0.82 78.3%
Alison 0.00 0.20 - 0 1 t-5 0.59 61.4%
Carl - 0.20 1 0 1 t-2 0.82 54.4%
Nick 0.00 0.20 - 0 1 t-7 0.23 50.7%
Davie 0.20 0.20 - 0 1 t-7 0.23 36.6%
Kara 0.20 0.20 - 0 1 t-5 0.59 35.3%
Mike 0.20 0.20 - 0 1 t-7 0.23 35.1%
Gabby 0.00 0.20 - 0 1 t-7 0.23 34.5%
Christian 0.00 0.20 - 0 1 t-7 0.23 18.3%
Episode 9 boxscore - Tribal Council

Tribal council stats

Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Nick 2* - 11 2* 1.13 7.62
Alison 0 - 11 0* 1.05 6.59
Alec 0 - 11 1 1.04 6.30
Gabby 1 - 11 1 0.93 6.09
Mike 0 - 11 1 0.82 5.40
Christian 1 3 11 1 1.25 5.34
Davie 1 - 11 1 0.97 5.33
Carl 1 - 11 1 0.64 4.15
Kara 0 - 11 1 0.59 3.74
Dan 0 6 11 1 0.93 3.61
Angelina 0 2 11 1 0.60 2.29
John - - - - 0.94 3.84
Elizabeth - - - - 0.72 1.62
Lyrsa - - - - 0.92 2.14
Natalie - - - - 0.69 2.05
Natalia - - - - 0.79 2.21
Bi - - - - 0.14 0.13
Jeremy - - - - -0.27 0.21
Jessica - - - - -0.56 0.00
Pat - - - - -1.00 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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