Episode 11: "My Wheels are Spinning"
Survivor
31: Cambodia Episode 11
boxscore
Filmed: June 26-28, 2015 | Aired: November 25, 2015
- Ep11 Reward challenge: "Folklore" - Stephen wins, ending Joe's post-merge challenge win streak, takes Tasha and Jeremy on spa getaway.
- Ep11 Immunity challenge: "The Game Is Afoot" - Spencer wins, ending Joe's immunity run.
- Ep11 voted out: Stephen plays his advantage but is still voted out, 4-3-2, over Abi and Joe (who did not vote, due to Stephen's advantage), respectively.
Episode 11 scoring notes
- The vote steal - Akiva Wienerkur raised a great point on twitter: the vote steal "advantage" fundamentally changes the Tribal Council scoring. Initially, we just gave Stephen credit for a missed vote (0 VFB, 1 TCA), as well as Joe. But Joe didn't get to cast a vote, while Stephen was able to cast two. So it should be 0 VFB, 2 TCA for Stephen, and 0 VFB, 0 TCA for Joe.
- - Mean % Finish note - when multiple people tie for one spot, the M%F is calculated from their average placement. So in the reward challenge, Kelley, Tasha, Keith & Jeremy were all tied for fourth place, with three medallions each. Their points are then the midpoint of (6-5-4-3), or 4.5/9. Similar scoring was used in the immunity challenge, where Tasha and Kimmi each had one block on the third tier, to tie for sixth place.
- - The immunity loss grabbed the headlines, but Joe had multiple challenge win streaks broken in this episode, much of them in the "Folklore" RC. There, Joe finished eighth (with just 2 medallions, ahead of only Kimmi), breaking both his individual challenge win streak and his overall post-merge challenge win streak. In fact, to this point, he'd only lost one challenge overall this season, the oiled-up ring toss one ... in which Joe performed well personally, but in which a certain Stephen Fishbach blew Joe's tribe's chances by losing to Kass. So it's fitting that Stephen also ended Joe's streak here. Eighth is also Joe's all-time worst finish, which previously had been his fourth-place showing in his final Worlds Apart immunity challenge. Then, of course, Joe just barely fell short of extending his immunity challenge win streak.
Vote count:
- Stephen received 4 votes, from Spencer, Keith(!), Kelley, and Abi (voted out, 4-3-2).
- Abi received 3 votes, from Stephen, Tasha, and Kimmi.
- Joe received 2 votes, from Jeremy and Stephen (who split his two advantage votes between Abi and Joe).
| Reward Challenge | Immunity Challenge | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | ChW | ChA | Plc | %Fin | M%F |
| Joe | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.89 | 85% |
| Spencer | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 62% |
| Keith | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.67 | 58% |
| Abi-Maria | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.56 | 51% |
| Tasha | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | t-6 | 0.39 | 51% |
| Kelley | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | 37% |
| Jeremy | 0 | 1 | t-4 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.11 | 36% |
| Kimmi | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | t-6 | 0.39 | 34% |
| Stephen | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.22 | 33% |
| Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Joe | - | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0.61 | 5.56 |
| Kelley | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.80 | 4.16 |
| Jeremy | 0 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.57 | 4.14 |
| Keith | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.53 | 3.96 |
| Stephen | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0.77 | 3.84 |
| Kimmi | 0 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.58 | 3.14 |
| Spencer | 1 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.74 | 3.05 |
| Tasha | 0 | - | 9 | 1 | 0.53 | 2.93 |
| Abi-Maria | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0.77 | 2.23 |
| Spencer | 0 | - | 10 | 1 | 0.60 | 1.92 |
| Ciera | - | - | - | - | 0.74 | 2.43 |
| Kelly | - | - | - | - | 0.28 | 1.05 |
| Savage | - | - | - | - | 0.96 | 3.83 |
| Kass | - | - | - | - | 0.57 | 2.15 |
| Woo | - | - | - | - | 0.59 | 1.76 |
| Terry | - | - | - | - | 0.29 | 0.77 |
| Monica | - | - | - | - | -0.36 | 0.29 |
| Varner | - | - | - | - | 0.72 | 2.63 |
| Peih-Gee | - | - | - | - | 0.61 | 2.33 |
| Shirin | - | - | - | - | 0.37 | 1.56 |
| Vytas | - | - | - | - | -0.60 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.