Survivor: Blood vs. Water boxcoscores
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Survivor: Blood vs. Water boxscores - Episode 2
"Lead In Chaos"
By: Jeff Pitman | Published: September 26, 2013

Filmed: May 23-24, 2013 |  Aired: September 25, 2013
Rupert Boneham, first person out
Galang wins immunity
Rachel out, 5-2-1

 

  • Redemption Island duel: "Operation Balance Build" - Candice first, Marissa second. Rupert is third, and out.
  • Redemption Island eliminated person: Rupert, despite receiving zero votes against.
  • Hidden idol clue: Candice gives it to John, who makes at best a tepid attempt to find it.
  • Immunity challenge: "In the Barrel" - Tadhana gets a slight early lead, but loses it on the skee-ball. Galang wins immunity and somewhat superfluous fishing gear.
  • Voted out: Rachel, 5-2-1 over John and Ciera.

 

Episode 2 scoring notes

Notes:

- Some contradictory words about duels: For the purposes of SurvAv and SurvSc all-in-one scores, duels count as half the value of traditional, in-game individual challenges. Furthermore, in duels in which only the last-place finisher is eliminated, second place is only worth half the points of first (or 0.25 here).

- We also keep track of Mean % Finish (MPF) in duels, however. There, first place is 100%, second is 67%, and third (eliminated) is 33%. This will be a separate stat from Mean % Finish in individual challenges, although we don't yet have a fancy acronym to make that distinction (MPFD for duels, MPF for challenges? Groan.) To reduce table bloat, we've divided the duels off into their own table. On an island, of sorts.

- As mentioned in the recap, it seems a bit unfair to give Colton, Tina, and Laura B. credit for "winning" the challenge (and not Kat), when they didn't do anything at all in it, at least as far as was shown on TV. But that's the way we've done it, and we'll keep doing so.

 

Vote count

- Rachel received 5 votes, from Brad, Caleb, Hayden, John, and Vytas (voted out, 5-2-1).

- John received 2 votes, from Ciera and Katie.

- Ciera received 1 vote, from Rachel.

Episode 2 boxscore, part 1
Redemption duel
Contestant ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPFD
Marissa 0.25 0.50 2 0.67 0.67
Rupert 0.00 0.50 3 0.33 0.33
Candice 0.50 0.50 1 1.00 1.00
Episode 2 boxscore, part 2
Reward/ Immunity Challenge Tribal Council stats
Contestant ChW ChA SO VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Aras 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 1.00 0.24
Colton 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 2.00 7.24
Gervase 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 1.90 5.84
Tyson 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 1.00 0.24
Kat - 0.125 1 - - - - 1.47 7.11
Laura B. 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 0.30 0.24
Laura M. 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 1.70 4.24
Monica 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 2.00 7.24
Tina 0.125 0.125 - - - - - 2.00 7.24
Brad 0.00 0.125 - 1 0 8 1 0.99 5.60
Caleb 0.00 0.125 - 1 0 8 1 1.00 7.00
Hayden 0.00 0.125 - 1 0 8 1 1.00 7.00
John 0.00 0.125 - 1 2 8 1 0.98 4.67
Vytas 0.00 0.125 - 1 0 8 1 1.00 7.00
Ciera 0.00 0.125 - 0 1 8 1 0.65 3.73
Katie 0.00 0.125 - 0 0 8 1 0.32 1.87
Rachel 0.00 0.125 - 0 5 8 1 0.60 2.07
Marissa - -   - - - - 0.15 0.25
Rupert - -   - - - - 0.00 0.00
Candice - -   - - - - 0.40 0.50
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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