SurvivorNZ 2: Thailand boxscores
Episode 8
By Jeff Pitman | Published: June 13, 2018
Survivor NZ: Thailand boxscores - Episode 8

Filmed: February 9-12, 2018 |  Aired: June 10, 2018
Khang Khaw wins
Merge
Matt wins
Arun out, 5-3-2

 

  • Ep.8 Reward challenge: "Coco Connection" - Khang Khaw (except noted slingshot expert Brad) prove superior at smashing tiles with slingshots, win... merge buffs for everyone?
  • Ep.8 merge: Yes, they're merged, and have to be called Phsan, whether they like it or not.
  • Ep.8 reward: The next day, the old Khang Khaws get an order sheet from which to select one luxury item each.
  • Ep.8 Immunity challenge: "House of Cards" - Matt wisely builds a tall one then stops, eventually wins.
  • Ep.8 voted out: Arun, 5-3-2 over Dave and Lisa, respectively. Lisa steals Arun's vote, and uses it on him. Arun becomes the first juror.

 

Episode 8 scoring notes

Notes:

- Individual challenges: This week, we return to Mean % finish in individual challenges, and get the worst possible example with which to demonstrate it, because in "House of Cards" (or in puzzles), everyone who doesn't win is tied for second place, because as we saw, no stack can safely be called "almost finished" if it can fall over at any time. Also, since everyone competed in the opening RC, all already have some prior individual challenge experience, which is why Matt's MPF is not at 100%, for example.

 

- Lisa's vote steal, Arun's no vote: Despite the name, the Tribal Council Appearance (TCA) stat tracks the number of times a contestant has voted. So Lisa gets 2 TCA, Arun zero. Lisa also receives 2 VFB, for correctly using both votes on Arun.

 

Vote count:

- Arun received 5 votes, from Adam, Lisa, Lisa (using Arun's vote), Matt, and Renee (voted out, 5-3-2).

- Dave received 3 votes, from Brad, Tara, and Tess.

- Lisa received 2 votes, from Dave and Eve.

Episode 8 boxscore - challenges
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge
Contestant ChW ChA ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPF
Matt 0.00 0.20 1 1 1 1.00 97.2%
Arun 0.00 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 69.4%
Eve 0.20 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 59.7%
Renee 0.00 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 59.7%
Brad 0.20 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 50.0%
Adam 0.00 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 37.5%
Dave 0.00 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 37.5%
Lisa 0.20 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 37.5%
Tara 0.20 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 37.5%
Tess 0.20 0.20 0 1 t-2 0.50 37.5%
Episode 8 boxscore - Tribal Council
Tribal council stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Renee 1 - 10 1 1.20 6.59
Matt 1 - 10 1 1.23 6.29
Tess 0 - 10 1 1.11 5.72
Lisa 2* 2 10 2* 1.08 5.36
Adam 1 - 10 1 0.93 5.02
Eve 0 - 10 1 0.81 4.37
Brad 0 - 10 1 0.97 4.15
Dave 0 3 10 1 0.96 3.99
Tara 0 - 10 1 0.64 3.82
Arun 0 5 10 0* 0.93 3.14
Dylan - - - - 0.50 1.67
JT - - - - 0.85 2.69
Josh - - - - 0.77 2.84
Liam - - - - 0.67 2.07
Kaysha - - - - -0.07 1.28
Frankie - - - - 0.66 2.01
Karla - - - - 0.21 1.00
Josefien - - - - 0.15 1.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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