SurvivorNZ 2: Thailand boxscores
Episode 10
By Jeff Pitman | Published: June 25, 2018
Survivor NZ: Thailand boxscores - Episode 10

Filmed: February 16-17, 2018 |  Aired: June 24, 2018
Yellow team wins
Adam wins IC
Renee out, 5-3

 

  • Ep.10 Reward challenge: "Challenge Pitch" - The yellow team (mostly Matt, but eventually also Dave, Tess) knock off blocks efficiently, and Lisa solves the puzzle swiftly, well ahead of Tara and the blue team. They win a trip to see "Jurassic World" with popcorn, soda, and videos from home. Adam is livid.
  • Ep.10 Immunity challenge: "Paddle Out" - Dave and Adam turn out to randomly be whizzes at this, but Dave drops on the final ball, and Adam wins.
  • Ep.10 voted out: Renee, 5-3 over Dave. Dave again does not play his idol.

 

Episode 10 scoring notes

Notes:

- IC scoring: This was one of those challenges where it's impossible to accurately know where everyone finished, and we're entirely dependent on the editing to score it. To that end: Lisa, Renee, Tara, and Tess were never shown placing a ball. We'll assume they ended with zero. Matt was shown placing one, and in a later group shot, still had it (good enough for 4th place). Eve was shown with three. Clearly, Adam won with six balls placed. Finally, after dropping all five of his originally placed balls (while Adam also had five placed), Dave somehow managed to place two more balls again before Adam finished. (When Dave drops his paddle at the end, he has two balls placed, at least.) So we're giving Dave credit for third place, between Eve and Matt.

 

Vote count:

- Renee received 5 votes, from Dave, Eve, Lisa, Matt, and Tara (voted out, 5-3).

- Dave received 3 votes, from Adam, Renee, and Tess.

Episode 10 boxscore - challenges
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge
Contestant ChW ChA ChW ChA Plc % Fin MPF
Matt 0.25 0.25 0 1 4 0.63 79.2%
Eve 0.00 0.25 0 1 2 0.88 74.7%
Adam 0.00 0.25 1 1 1 1.00 56.1%
Renee 0.00 0.25 0 1 t-5 0.31 55.7%
Dave 0.25 0.25 0 1 3 0.75 48.9%
Tara 0.00 0.25 0 1 t-5 0.31 39.0%
Tess 0.25 0.25 0 1 t-5 0.31 34.6%
Lisa 0.25 0.25 0 1 t-5 0.31 32.4%
Episode 10 boxscore - Tribal Council
Tribal council stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Matt 1 - 8 1 1.14 7.01
Eve 1 - 8 1 0.96 6.01
Lisa 1 - 8 1 1.07 6.00
Tara 1 - 8 1 0.78 5.68
Adam 0 - 8 1 0.74 4.62
Tess 0 - 8 1 0.69 4.47
Renee 0 5 8 1 0.86 2.89
Dave 1 3 8 1 0.97 2.79
Brad - - - - 0.84 3.65
Arun - - - - 0.93 3.14
Dylan - - - - 0.50 1.67
JT - - - - 0.85 2.69
Josh - - - - 0.77 2.84
Liam - - - - 0.67 2.07
Kaysha - - - - -0.07 1.28
Frankie - - - - 0.66 2.01
Karla - - - - 0.21 1.00
Josefien - - - - 0.15 1.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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