| Episode
4: "To Betray or Not to Betray" |
Filmed:
July 5-6 (?), 2005
Airdate: October 6, 2005 |
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| Episode 4 vidcap gallery: Click
here (newest sets below) |
 Vidcaps:
Ep4 20-sec TV ad vidcaps
Aired 10/2/05 |
 Vidcaps:
Ep4 10-sec NFL tv ad vidcaps
Aired 10/2/05 |
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| Episode description |
| Video: Watch
the CBS web
promo. (Uploaded 9/30/05) |
CBS: "-
In an unexpected twist, members of the two tribes are shuffled.
- While one Survivor dangles his feet in the crocodile-infested
waters, something nibbles on his toes.
- A very close Immunity Challenge leads into a tense Tribal
Council that could end with a tie or a major betrayal." |
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| Other
vidcaps: Post-Ep3 TV preview (9/29)
| Ep4 web promo (9/30)
| Ep4 5-sec NFL ad (10/2)
| Ep4 10-sec NFL ad (10/2)
| Ep4 20-sec TV ad (10/2)
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Parts
of this challenge were shown in the post-Ep3 TV preview, where
it was edited to suggest the switch occurs here. We originally
thought (because of the pic below of Rafe at the IC, still in a
blue buff)
that the switch occurred before the IC. But upon closer inspection,
there's a halo of yellow around Rafe's collar, so like the shot
of Jamie,
Rafe's buff color has just been altered. With no evidence of the
pre-switch tribes as late as the IC, then, we'll suggest that it's
more likely to occur at, after, or in the place of the RC. This
does fit with the CBS press
release: "Nakum and Yaxha come together
for a forum that reveals the state of their tribes. In an unexpected
twist, the two tribes are switched around."
Is there a challenge as well? It's not clear. The Survivors have
tribal color-coded tablets. Perhaps the "challenge" is a trick
to get them to switch tribes. We initially thought the shots of
Margaret and Judd looking unhappy (bottom row, below) might indicate
a contact-from-home-type reward, but we'll concede we can't see
how that fits with a tribal swap. Plus they've only been gone for
two weeks (eight days in the game).
| REWARD CHALLENGE/switch vidcaps
- Click thumbnails to expand |
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Okay,
so the big question is: Who
gets switched? The web
promo shows us
a lot (relevant caps below). Some are clear: Rafe is visible in
a yellow canoe that
says "Nakum" on the side. None too subtle. In the other canoe,
which appears to be blue, Blake is present. So Blake and Rafe switch
teams (biancaxxx also
saw this, and posted it at MeSS). Does
Steph too? Yep, she's shown with a yellow buff around her waist. And then there's Jamie...
shown in the web promo with what appears to be a blue buff on his
head. But as the video moves, some of the blue slips onto his forehead,
and some yellow peeks out on the other side. Whoops!
Who gets switched to Yaxha?
Well, for the possibility of a tie, there must be 4 ex-Nakums there
(plus, the shot of the beach in the IC could be used to argue Yaxha
is sitting someone out). So in addition to Blake, we think we hear Danni's
voice directly asking Gary (at Yaxha camp) about his ("No!
I swear!")
NFL career. Danni's also featured in the RC shots (as is Jamie),
which are usually clues for who's switched. For the other two,
then, we'd guess Margaret and Judd, who are all over the promos.
But there's no real evidence for or against there.
As for the IC, it looks very similar to the Ep1 IC, since racing
canoes to retrieve objects from the lake appears to be involved.
There are three color-coded hanging paddles/clubs (perhaps these
are maquahuitls?) visible on the lake. Once back on land, the objects
picked up on the lake are thrown (Jamie and Steph are shown here).
Who wins? Nakum has a slight lead in the canoe race back to the
beach. The two people shown in the throwing stage are both (now)
on Nakum, as well. Looks good for Nakum. Also, we see Gary back
at Yaxha camp, getting the third degree about his football days,
and a slightly drawling woman (who is not Amy, Steph or Lydia)
asking him about it. So we're guessing Yaxha
loses, yet again. This action likely takes place post-switch
and pre-IC, but if that's the only drama SEG can dredge up to distract
from the boot, we'll guess that we see Yaxha revisit this theme
when they return to camp, sans idol.
| IMMUNITY CHALLENGE vidcaps
- Click thumbnails to expand |
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Clearly,
our attempts to follow previously-useful patterns of CBS editing
to find the bootee the last two weeks have been spectacularly
bad. So we'll try something new this time.
There's one set of clues
that's worked at times last season, and seems to still work
this season, at least so far. While it probably won't work again,
now that we're pointing out, it should at least be good for this
episode: Simply, who is shown when Probst is speaking at the end
of tribal council is important. And what he says when they're shown
is important too. For the Ep3 boot, Brianna was the last person
shown at the Ep2 Tribal Council, as Probst gave his parting words
("didn't
see it coming").
The three people below all had significant edits at previous TCs,
and all end up on Yaxha this week:
-
Strong guy switched to a new tribe.
- Still looked weak during the Ep3 IC.
- Last person shown (as Probst said "without tearing yourselves
apart") in the Ep1 tribal council.
-
Tip to TDT: Blake's health continues to suffer in upcoming
episode(s).
- Xbalanque:
Blake probably gone in Ep4.
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Last person shown at Ep3 Tribal Council (Probst: "We'll
see how it plays out").
- Pressure may be on him to vote out Gary.
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- Ankle injury in
Ep3. Can't keep it up forever.
- At last tribal council, Probst said "vote off the weak" (shot of Amy), then
"and keep the strong" (shot of Lydia). Not a good sign for Amy. |
Update: We now think Blake probably goes next
episode (Ep.5), and not this week. That leaves poor, head-spinning
Brian as the primary target (TC editing-wise,
anyway). Brownroach posted
a fine theory at Blows that sums up about what we envisioned for
a Brian boot (essentially, he tries to cut a deal with Danni/ex-Nakums
to boot Gary, and gets screwed when they use his overtures against
him, to boot Brian instead). Sounds about right.
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